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Prediction for CME (2026-06-09T16:36:00-CME-001)CME Observed Time: 2026-06-09T16:36ZDONKI Link: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/46749/-1 CME Note: The source of this event is a filament eruption seen originating from the vicinity of Active Region 14463 (N17E15) beginning at approximately 2026-06-09T15:46Z. Filament material can be seen in SDO AIA, STEREO A EUVI and GOES SUVI 304. A wide region of dimming, field line opening and a slight EUV wave is also visible in SDO AIA 171, 193, 211, STEREO A EUVI 195 and GOES SUVI 284 appearing to exhibit heavy Eastern deflection, possibly due to the eruptions proximity to a coronal hole. CME was not detected at Earth. Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME: ---- Predicted Arrival Time: 2026-06-13T03:58Z Confidence that the CME will arrive: 35.0% Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 5.0 Prediction Method: Median of all Methods Prediction Method Note: This is the auto generated median of all submitted predictions for this CME.Lead Time: -8.58 hour(s) Difference: 5.88 hour(s) Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2026-06-13T18:26Z |
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